Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 75.833689 85.148715 94.698600 105.190412 116.362956 127.876088 140.608090
2025-01-12 60.540507 73.768975 87.970107 104.223391 122.189439 141.329253 163.149881
2025-01-19 50.144563 65.223802 82.001159 101.792908 124.256629 148.737006 177.212327
2025-01-26 45.665516 62.595288 81.968165 105.351252 132.410936 162.381230 197.734060
2025-02-02 41.591406 59.887457 81.372538 107.841024 138.992945 173.975255 215.727206
2025-02-09 36.391388 55.282310 78.086915 106.782400 141.136871 180.247020 227.462842
2025-02-16 31.943977 51.191827 75.063791 105.712702 142.991438 185.962550 238.374500
2025-02-23 28.969468 48.722946 73.815982 106.596122 147.003481 194.065032 251.950624
2025-03-02 25.940950 45.909809 71.913412 106.482254 149.661349 200.460211 263.450459
2025-03-09 23.569417 43.789295 70.738199 107.139844 153.149584 207.762315 275.962318
2025-03-16 20.766854 40.810925 68.237850 105.943680 154.217284 212.064928 284.847332
2025-03-23 19.206278 39.513512 67.892158 107.446972 158.589133 220.317961 298.421391
2025-03-30 17.881280 38.493072 67.893647 109.413235 163.594247 229.430491 313.163416
2025-04-06 15.739865 36.013986 65.725495 108.398163 164.740075 233.779057 322.152147
2025-04-13 13.404846 32.979736 62.581209 105.912185 163.869257 235.540738 327.923627
2025-04-20 12.961927 33.068493 63.945295 109.556585 170.937626 247.168531 345.745513
2025-04-27 12.269233 32.659764 64.533372 112.106395 176.568533 257.008794 361.401821
2025-05-04 10.744270 30.620549 62.570498 111.022335 177.363306 260.744378 369.533935
2025-05-11 9.368680 28.694569 60.665288 109.926852 178.072235 264.321723 377.436420
2025-05-18 8.546055 27.733188 60.197143 110.831576 181.419972 271.228762 389.463365
2025-05-25 7.592299 26.397048 59.059587 110.714965 183.355081 276.312718 399.212767
2025-06-01 6.870395 25.451161 58.493375 111.388376 186.333104 282.719204 410.613718
2025-06-08 5.888584 23.804682 56.685176 110.163407 186.671393 285.695651 417.694533